Every Arsenal match of 2026/27, all competitions. Every match gets a full animated analysis.
Tap a highlighted match to open its analysis. The dashed card at the end is the next match's preview.
Arsenal go to St James' Park six points clear after four league clean sheets in a row. Newcastle, 11th under their new head coach Matthias Jaissle, have won one of their last five league games.
Arsenal win 60% · draw 23% · Newcastle United win 16%. Expected goals 1.75–0.79.
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Arsenal have created 31.20 xG and scored 31 in 17 games. Opponents: 14.39 xG, 11 goals. In the league, 27 points from 10 games against 19.6 expected.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | +2 | 15 |
Bars: expected goals (xG) created. Rings: actual goals. ■ Arsenal ■ Opponent
Solid: actual goals. Dashed: xG. Arsenal in the team colour, opponents in the contrast colour.
Expected points: the points the chances deserved, from each Premier League match's xG.
| Date | Comp | Opponent | Score | xG | W / D / L from the chances | Verdict | Pre-match model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | CS | Manchester City | 3–0 | 2.19–0.77 | 70% / 18% / 12% | Deserved | – |
| 21 Aug | PL | Coventry City | 3–0 | 1.88–0.20 | 79% / 18% / 3% | Deserved | – |
| 31 Aug | PL | Aston Villa | 1–0 | 1.04–0.33 | 53% / 35% / 12% | Deserved | – |
| 6 Sep | PL | Chelsea | 2–1 | 2.05–0.39 | 77% / 17% / 6% | Deserved | – |
| 9 Sep | UCL | SSC Napoli | 1–0 | 4.05–0.22 | 97% / 3% / 1% | Deserved | – |
| 12 Sep | PL | Sunderland | 2–0 | 1.88–1.80 | 41% / 22% / 38% | Fortunate | – |
| 15 Sep | EFL | Ipswich Town | 4–2 | 0.95–0.72 | 39% / 34% / 27% | Fortunate | – |
| 19 Sep | PL | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–3 | 1.63–1.31 | 45% / 24% / 31% | Unlucky | – |
| 10 Oct | PL | Leeds United | 2–1 | 2.33–0.62 | 76% / 16% / 8% | Deserved | 70% / 19% / 11% Called it |
| 13 Oct | UCL | LOSC Lille | 3–0 | 1.85–0.38 | 73% / 20% / 7% | Deserved | 65% / 21% / 14% Called it |
| 18 Oct | PL | Nottingham Forest | 1–0 | 1.14–0.90 | 41% / 30% / 29% | Fortunate | 57% / 25% / 18% Called it |
| 21 Oct | UCL | FC Bayern München | 2–2 | 1.69–2.33 | 28% / 20% / 52% | Fair | 21% / 21% / 58% Missed |
| 24 Oct | PL | Everton | 2–0 | 1.96–0.63 | 69% / 20% / 11% | Deserved | 69% / 20% / 11% Called it |
| 27 Oct | EFL | Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | 2.83–0.27 | 89% / 9% / 2% | Points dropped | – |
| 1 Nov | PL | Liverpool | 1–0 | 0.98–1.05 | 33% / 31% / 37% | Fortunate | 51% / 25% / 24% Called it |
| 4 Nov | UCL | SK Slavia Praha | 2–1 | 1.49–2.11 | 27% / 21% / 52% | Fortunate | 83% / 12% / 6% Called it |
| 7 Nov | PL | Hull City | 1–0 | 1.26–0.36 | 60% / 30% / 11% | Deserved | – |
“W / D / L from the chances” replays each match with the same xG using a Poisson model. xG from FotMob (Opta) from the Leeds match on; for Bayern FotMob's figure is 2.33 to 1.69 (revised from 2.46; the same figure is used on the Bayern page), an earlier read quoted by SI had 2.51 to 1.40. For Everton FotMob gives 1.96 to 0.63, Opta Analyst 1.77 to 0.48. At Liverpool FotMob has Liverpool ahead, 1.05 to 0.98 (revised from 1.15 to 0.96), with no Liverpool shot on target. Fleetwood won the League Cup tie 5-3 on penalties after 1-1; FotMob revised its xG there to 2.83 to 0.27 (from 2.21 to 0.26). In Prague FotMob has Slavia ahead, 2.11 to 1.49 (ESPN 2.23 to 1.49). For Hull FotMob gives 1.26 to 0.36, Opta Analyst 1.08 to 0.34. The table is after Saturday's Matchday 10 games. Sunderland's figure includes two penalties. Pre-match predictions start with the Leeds match.
What's happening. Arsenal beat Hull 1–0 and lead the league by six points after ten games, with 27 points; City lost at Forest. Arsenal have now kept four league clean sheets in a row and seven in ten. In midweek they won 2–1 in Prague but were outshot after the break. Newcastle away comes after the international break, on 21 November.
How it works. Arsenal win with structure first. The back four stays narrow, two midfielders screen it, and the full-backs hold rather than overlap. Opponents get the ball but rarely a clean shot. The cost shows in attack: without Saka, goals come from a regain, a set piece or a rebound, and leads stay small. In Prague a rotated side kept losing the ball, and the block had to take 16 shots in one half.
What the shots say. Before this round FotMob's xG had Arsenal conceding the fewest chances in the league (Planet Football). One reading: a defence this good turns 1–0 into a habit, and the margins hold. The other: Arsenal have scored 15 goals in ten league games, and when an opponent finishes better, as Slavia nearly did, one goal is not enough.
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Hull sat in a back five, and Arsenal needed 72 minutes and a rebound to get through it. Ødegaard's finish was Arteta's 34th 1–0 league win and put Arsenal six points clear.
1 goal animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLArsenal · 4 NovSK Slavia Praha 1–2 ArsenalArsenal were 2–0 up at half-time and could have had more. Then Slavia went to a back three, had 16 shots to Arsenal's four after the break, and scored only in the 90th minute.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 1 NovLiverpool 0–1 ArsenalLiverpool had 17 shots and not one on target. Arsenal won Alisson's short goal kick, Rice overlapped and crossed, and Havertz's tap-in ended a 14-year wait at Anfield and put Arsenal top.
1 goal animated · tactic breakdown · column → EFLArsenal · 27 OctFleetwood Town 1–1 ArsenalArsenal had 79% of the ball and 26 shots. League Two Fleetwood had three, scored with one, and won the shootout 5–3.
2 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 24 OctArsenal 2–0 EvertonWithout Saka, Arsenal had 20 shots and four on target. Both goals came from the centre-backs: Konsa from a corner, Gabriel from White's cross.
2 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLArsenal · 21 OctFC Bayern München 2–2 ArsenalArsenal lost Saka after ten minutes, went ahead, fell behind to Kane and came back again. Bayern made the better chances; Arsenal made the last one.
4 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 18 OctNottingham Forest 0–1 ArsenalArsenal had 74% of the ball and one shot on target. Madueke's deflected strike at 80' was enough.
1 goal animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLArsenal · 13 OctArsenal 3–0 LOSC LilleLille held out for 63 minutes, then Arsenal scored three in seven.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 10 OctArsenal 2–1 Leeds UnitedBehind for seven minutes, Arsenal let their bench break Leeds' back five.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 19 SepBrighton & Hove Albion 3–0 ArsenalBrighton's man-to-man press ends Arsenal's seven-game winning start.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → EFLArsenal · 15 SepIpswich Town 2–4 ArsenalA 16-year-old scores twice as a rotated Arsenal side press its way into round four.
6 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 12 SepSunderland 0–2 ArsenalA penalty save and a 23-yard strike, two minutes apart, win a proper scrap.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → UCLArsenal · 9 SepSSC Napoli 0–1 Arsenal26 shots, 4.05 xG and one goal: Ødegaard's strike is the only reward for total dominance in Naples.
1 goal animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 6 SepArsenal 2–1 ChelseaBehind after 77 seconds, Arsenal answer with the best football of their season so far.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 31 AugAston Villa 0–1 ArsenalVilla don't manage a single shot on target. One Calafiori run behind the high line is enough.
1 goal animated · tactic breakdown · column → PLArsenal · 21 AugArsenal 3–0 Coventry CityThe champions open with total control: Coventry don't touch the ball in Arsenal's box before half-time.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column → CSArsenal · 16 AugArsenal 3–0 Manchester CityA 23-second opener and two Tzolis assists: Arsenal overrun Maresca's City to start the season.
3 goals animated · tactic breakdown · column →Every diagram plays on a loop like a short GIF: the dots are players moving, the white ball travels with the play, and lines trace where the ball and the runners went. Goal diagrams show the scoring team attacking up the page. Use Pause to freeze any moment. Diagrams are reconstructions from match reports and analysis, not tracking data, so positions are approximate.
Facts (line-ups, minutes, stats, quotes) are cross-checked across at least two outlets where possible. xG sources are named in the notes above and in each match. Tactical claims are credited to the outlet that made them. YouTube analyses are linked, not transcribed. Everything under Column is our own analysis.