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Moreno's Korea: the 4-4-2 reset

Robert Moreno has had four games: 3-0 against Ecuador, 1-4 against Uruguay, 0-0 against Venezuela and 2-0 against Uzbekistan. We logged every shot of the first three, estimated the xG ourselves, and animated how his Korea want to play and where Uruguay broke them.

Updated 12 Oct 2026 · after the Uzbekistan friendly (6 Oct), before the November window

2W 1D 1Lin Moreno's first four games, 6 goals for and 4 against
0.90–0.32our estimated xG against Ecuador: a deserved win, flattered by two long-range goals
1.15–0.92our estimated xG against Uruguay: Korea made more of the chances and still lost 1-4
0.14 → 1.01Korea's estimated xG against Uruguay, first half to second, after four changes at half-time
59goals for Son Heung-min, a new Korea men's record, one more than Cha Bum-kun

01Every game under Moreno

24 SepFRvs EcuadorMoreno's first game; all three goals after half-time3–00.900.32
28 SepFRvs Uruguay3–0 down at half-time; the second half finished 1–11–41.150.92
2 OctFRvs VenezuelaOne shot in the first half; Venezuela hit the post in the second0–00.720.59
6 OctFRvs UzbekistanSon's record 59th goal from a free kick (6'); Oh Se-hun header (60')2–0no xG
Korea xG (est.)Opponent xG (est.)xG is our own estimate from a shot-by-shot log (method below); no data provider published xG for these friendlies. Uzbekistan: no xG, because no full minute-by-minute shot record was available to us.

02Who Moreno is, and what he changed

Where he started. Korea went out of the World Cup in the group stage, playing a back three, and Hong Myung-bo resigned. The KFA named Robert Moreno interim coach on 1 September for six friendlies, with a contract to 27 November and the option of staying for the Asian Cup if the results come.

Who he is. Moreno was Luis Enrique's assistant at Roma, Celta and Barcelona. He then coached Spain for nine unbeaten games in 2019, before Luis Enrique returned and publicly called him disloyal. Club jobs at Monaco, Granada and Sochi were mixed. He describes his football as brave: keep the ball aggressively, and when you lose it, press at once to win it back.

What he changed. He switched to a 4-4-2 at once, choosing it because it has been the K League's most-used system for two years. He picked on form, screening data on about 1,700 players, weighting their last ten matches, and taking 12 K League players among 30. In possession the shape moves: one striker holds, the other roams, and Lee Kang-in drifts inside so the right-back supplies the width (Kyunghyang).

Starting XI against Uruguay, 28 Sep. Korea attack left → right.

03Every shot, and our xG estimate

No data provider published xG for these friendlies, so we built our own. We logged every shot from Sky Sports', Fox Sports' and ESPN's minute-by-minute data and Korean match reports: 63 shots in total, matching FotMob's shot and on-target counts for both teams in all three games. Each shot then got a value from its location, body part and situation.

GoalOn targetOff target or blocked◯ = xG

Korea 3–0 Ecuador

Korea11 shots · 5 on target · xG 0.90
86' Lee Dong-gyeong · xG 0.30 · through ball90' Oh Se-hun · xG 0.1245+1' Kim Min-jae · xG 0.10 · header, free kick83' Oh Se-hun · xG 0.08 · fast break90+2' Kim Tae-hyeon · xG 0.08 · header, set piece11' Son Heung-min · xG 0.06 · free kick54' Oh Hyeon-gyu · xG 0.04 · deflected2' Jung Seung-won · xG 0.0322' Son Heung-min · xG 0.0358' Son Heung-min · xG 0.03 · free kick90+1' Lee Jae-sung · xG 0.03
Ecuador10 shots · 3 on target · xG 0.32
60' Caicedo · xG 0.08 · header, corner70' J. Angulo · xG 0.04 · tight angle5' Vite · xG 0.0320' Franco · xG 0.0329' Arroyo · xG 0.0359' Yeboah · xG 0.0381' J. Angulo · xG 0.0373' Estupiñán · xG 0.0273' Mercado · xG 0.0284' Minda · xG 0.01
1st half xG 0.22 – 0.092nd half xG 0.68 – 0.23
Shot list
2'KoreaJung Seung-won0.03Off target or blocked
5'EcuadorVite0.03Off target or blocked
11'KoreaSon Heung-min free kick0.06Off target or blocked
20'EcuadorFranco0.03Off target or blocked
22'KoreaSon Heung-min0.03Off target or blocked
29'EcuadorArroyo0.03Off target or blocked
45+1'KoreaKim Min-jae header, free kick0.10On target
54'KoreaOh Hyeon-gyu deflected0.04Goal
58'KoreaSon Heung-min free kick0.03Goal
59'EcuadorYeboah0.03On target
60'EcuadorCaicedo header, corner0.08Off target or blocked
70'EcuadorJ. Angulo tight angle0.04On target
73'EcuadorEstupiñán0.02Off target or blocked
73'EcuadorMercado0.02Off target or blocked
81'EcuadorJ. Angulo0.03On target
83'KoreaOh Se-hun fast break0.08Off target or blocked
84'EcuadorMinda0.01Off target or blocked
86'KoreaLee Dong-gyeong through ball0.30Goal
90'KoreaOh Se-hun0.12On target
90+1'KoreaLee Jae-sung0.03Off target or blocked
90+2'KoreaKim Tae-hyeon header, set piece0.08Off target or blocked

Korea 1–4 Uruguay

Korea14 shots · 7 on target · xG 1.15
55' Oh Hyeon-gyu · xG 0.35 · one-on-one80' Son Heung-min · xG 0.25 · cross from Lee Kang-in72' Son Heung-min · xG 0.10 · corner13' Lee Han-beom · xG 0.08 · header49' Oh Hyeon-gyu · xG 0.0750' Oh Hyeon-gyu · xG 0.0712' Lee Kang-in · xG 0.0331' Son Heung-min · xG 0.0348' Kim Min-su · xG 0.0351' Lee Kang-in · xG 0.0368' Oh Hyeon-gyu · xG 0.0378' Son Heung-min · xG 0.0385' Lee Kang-in · xG 0.0358' Kim Min-su · xG 0.02
Uruguay9 shots · 4 on target · xG 0.92
13' Núñez · xG 0.35 · one-on-one62' Núñez · xG 0.20 · header, unmarked65' M. Araújo · xG 0.1261' M. Araújo · xG 0.10 · header27' De Arrascaeta · xG 0.053' Piquerez · xG 0.047' B. Rodríguez · xG 0.0326' R. Araujo · xG 0.0265' De Arrascaeta · xG 0.01
1st half xG 0.14 – 0.492nd half xG 1.01 – 0.43

Uruguay's third goal (43') was a Kim Min-jae own goal from Varela's cross, so it isn't a shot and carries no xG.

Shot list
3'UruguayPiquerez0.04Off target or blocked
7'UruguayB. Rodríguez0.03Off target or blocked
12'KoreaLee Kang-in0.03Off target or blocked
13'KoreaLee Han-beom header0.08Off target or blocked
13'UruguayNúñez one-on-one0.35Goal
26'UruguayR. Araujo0.02Off target or blocked
27'UruguayDe Arrascaeta0.05Goal
31'KoreaSon Heung-min0.03Off target or blocked
48'KoreaKim Min-su0.03On target
49'KoreaOh Hyeon-gyu0.07On target
50'KoreaOh Hyeon-gyu0.07On target
51'KoreaLee Kang-in0.03Off target or blocked
55'KoreaOh Hyeon-gyu one-on-one0.35On target
58'KoreaKim Min-su0.02Off target or blocked
61'UruguayM. Araújo header0.10Off target or blocked
62'UruguayNúñez header, unmarked0.20Goal
65'UruguayDe Arrascaeta0.01Off target or blocked
65'UruguayM. Araújo0.12On target
68'KoreaOh Hyeon-gyu0.03On target
72'KoreaSon Heung-min corner0.10Off target or blocked
78'KoreaSon Heung-min0.03Off target or blocked
80'KoreaSon Heung-min cross from Lee Kang-in0.25Goal
85'KoreaLee Kang-in0.03On target

Korea 0–0 Venezuela

Korea7 shots · 3 on target · xG 0.72
45' Cho Hyun-taek · xG 0.25 · close range, left of the six-yard box51' Son Heung-min · xG 0.25 · low cross from Oh Hyeon-gyu81' Lee Kang-in · xG 0.07 · right side of the box, tight angle79' Son Heung-min · xG 0.0653' Cho Hyun-taek · xG 0.0362' Lee Kang-in · xG 0.0390+3' Lee Dong-gyeong · xG 0.03
Venezuela12 shots · 4 on target · xG 0.59
59' Kelsy · xG 0.1237' J. Ramírez · xG 0.09 · header from a set piece59' J. Ramírez · xG 0.09 · header from Herrera's cross65' Mendoza · xG 0.0572' Mendoza · xG 0.0511' Cásseres · xG 0.0323' Mendoza · xG 0.03 · direct free kick50' Herrera · xG 0.0357' Cásseres · xG 0.0372' Quintero · xG 0.0348' Cásseres · xG 0.0271' Cádiz · xG 0.02
1st half xG 0.25 – 0.152nd half xG 0.47 – 0.44

Shot locations for this game come from ESPN's play-by-play, so they are more precise than in the first two. Our model trained on 4,352 league shots scores this game the other way round (Korea 0.59, Venezuela 0.72): either way, an even game with few clear chances.

Shot list
11'VenezuelaCásseres0.03On target
23'VenezuelaMendoza direct free kick0.03Off target or blocked
37'VenezuelaJ. Ramírez header from a set piece0.09Off target or blocked
45'KoreaCho Hyun-taek close range, left of the six-yard box0.25On target
48'VenezuelaCásseres0.02Off target or blocked
50'VenezuelaHerrera0.03Off target or blocked
51'KoreaSon Heung-min low cross from Oh Hyeon-gyu0.25On target
53'KoreaCho Hyun-taek0.03Off target or blocked
57'VenezuelaCásseres0.03Off target or blocked
59'VenezuelaJ. Ramírez header from Herrera's cross0.09On target
59'VenezuelaKelsy0.12Off target or blocked
62'KoreaLee Kang-in0.03Off target or blocked
65'VenezuelaMendoza0.05On target
71'VenezuelaCádiz0.02Off target or blocked
72'VenezuelaMendoza0.05Off target or blocked
72'VenezuelaQuintero0.03On target
79'KoreaSon Heung-min0.06Off target or blocked
81'KoreaLee Kang-in right side of the box, tight angle0.07Off target or blocked
90+3'KoreaLee Dong-gyeong0.03On target
How we estimate xG. We use location bands like those in public xG models:
• a one-on-one in the box: 0.35
• a through ball or close-range finish in the box: 0.25–0.30
• a central shot inside the box: 0.10–0.12
• a header in the box: 0.08–0.10 (0.20 unmarked from a cross)
• a shot from a wide or tight angle in the box: 0.04–0.08
• a shot from outside the box: 0.01–0.04
• a direct free kick: 0.03–0.06
Locations come from match reports, so positions are approximate. A provider's model would differ by about ±0.2 per team per game.

04How Moreno wants Korea to play

Illustration of Moreno's intended pattern as described by Kyunghyang and JoongAng Daily, not a specific move. Korea (filled dots) attack left → right.

With the ball. The back four and a holding midfielder build through the middle, with at least two passing options for the man on the ball (JoongAng Daily). Lee Kang-in comes inside from the right, turning the 4-4-2 into something close to a 4-2-3-1, and Seol Young-woo overlaps outside him. Oh Hyeon-gyu stays high while Son drops or drifts to link play.

Without it. The two strikers start the press and the team tries to win the ball back straight away. Against Ecuador the first half was flat: 0.22 xG from four shots, and only one on target. Moreno said he adjusted “the pressing method and the build-up” at half-time. The team then took seven shots worth 0.68 xG and scored three.

How sure is this? The in-possession roles come mainly from one analysis (Kyunghyang) and the build-up principles from another (JoongAng Daily). Nobody reported exactly what changed in the press at half-time. The animation shows the intended pattern, not a specific move.

05Where Uruguay broke it

Illustration of the pattern described by Hankook Ilbo, JoongAng Daily and Kyunghyang, not a specific move. Korea (filled dots) attack left → right.

The plan. Moreno pushed both full-backs high to pin Uruguay's wingers back and make it easier to build through the middle. That left Kim Bong-soo and Lee Jae-sung alone against three central midfielders. Uruguay cut out the passes into them and broke into the space the full-backs had left. The first goal came from a turnover in the middle, the second from space between Korea's lines, and the third from Varela's run down Korea's left.

The first-half numbers. Korea managed three shots worth 0.14 xG, none on target. Uruguay had 0.49 xG from five shots and scored three times, one of them an own goal that was never a shot at all. Moreno: “We found the problem, but unfortunately a bit late.”

The fix. Four changes at half-time (Kim Min-jae, Hwang Hee-chan, Lee Tae-seok and Kim Bong-soo off) and more players behind the ball. Korea then took 11 shots worth 1.01 xG, with Oh Hyeon-gyu's one-on-one at 55' the best chance (0.35), and drew the half 1-1. The problem was found; the question is whether the starting plan changes.

06Five goals from Moreno's first two games

Three against Ecuador, the opener that showed Uruguay's plan, and Son's record-equalling 58th. The scoring team attacks up the page.

Oh Hyeon-gyu54'
v Ecuador · 1–0 · Counter-attack · our xG 0.04 (deflected from the edge of the box)
  1. Kim Min-jae plays the ball forward as Korea break.
  2. Song Min-kyu lets it run and it reaches Oh Hyeon-gyu.
  3. Oh shoots right-footed from the edge of the box, and it goes in off a defender.
Son Heung-min58'
v Ecuador · 2–0 · Free kick won by Oh Hyeon-gyu · our xG 0.03 · his 57th goal for Korea
  1. Oh Hyeon-gyu wins a free kick at the left edge of the box while shielding the ball.
  2. Son curls it with his right foot over the wall and into the far corner.
Lee Dong-gyeong86'
v Ecuador · 3–0 · A minute after coming on · assist Kim Bong-soo · our xG 0.30
  1. Oh Se-hun holds it up and lays it back to Kim Bong-soo.
  2. Kim slides a through ball into the box.
  3. Lee Dong-gyeong finishes low with his left foot into the bottom corner.
Núñez13'
v Uruguay · 0–1 · Uruguay's plan in one move: win it in the middle, go straight through · our xG 0.35
  1. Uruguay win the ball in midfield from Lee Han-beom.
  2. De Arrascaeta runs into the gap and slips a through ball.
  3. Núñez goes through one-on-one and finishes right-footed.
Son Heung-min80'
v Uruguay · 1–4 · His 58th goal, level with Cha Bum-kun · assist Lee Kang-in · our xG 0.25
  1. Lee Kang-in carries it down the right.
  2. He drives a low cross towards the near post.
  3. Son redirects it with his right foot. The KFA credited the goal to Son.

Goal animations are reconstructed from match reports and broadcast descriptions; positions are approximate. The scoring team attacks up the page.

07Key players

Forward

Son Heung-min

Moreno's roaming striker: he drops and drifts while Oh holds the line. Man of the match against Ecuador (FotMob 8.0), scored the free kick, and reached 58 goals against Uruguay (the KFA credited him, though Son said he didn't think he touched it). His 6th-minute free kick against Uzbekistan made it 59, a Korea men's record.

Striker

Oh Hyeon-gyu

The one who holds the line. Scored against Ecuador and took six shots against Uruguay, including the one-on-one at 55' that was the best chance of the night: 0.35 of our estimated xG.

Right midfield, drifting inside

Lee Kang-in

Rested against Ecuador. Against Uruguay he started on the right, came inside as planned, and made the goal. Moreno wants “what he does at his club” and calls using him elsewhere “rash and reckless”.

Holding midfielder

Kim Bong-soo

Steadied the midfield when he came on against Ecuador (Football-Asian) and played the pass for Lee Dong-gyeong's goal. Starting against Uruguay, he was the man Uruguay's three midfielders targeted, and came off at half-time.

Midfielder

Hwang In-beom

Missed both games for fitness reasons, but is expected to be available in October. Kyunghyang: apart from him, no midfielder in the squad can play that role. He is the most likely fix for the two-against-three problem.

08Where it's still fragile

The middle. Two central midfielders against three is the textbook problem of a 4-4-2. When the two strikers press, the midfield empties behind them, and the build-up turns into a U-shape of sideways passes (Kyunghyang).

The flanks. With both full-backs high and two attacking wide players who didn't track back in the first half against Uruguay (Daum column), Korea were left one-on-one out wide.

The slow starts. The first two games were fixed at half-time. Korea's first-half xG was 0.22 and 0.14; their second-half xG was 0.68 and 1.01. Against Venezuela it was 0.25 from a single shot before the break, then 0.47 after it. A coach who reads the game well is a plus. A starting plan that needs rescuing twice is not. Against Venezuela, with a reshuffled XI and Hwang In-beom back, Korea did not get their first shot until the 45th minute and had one touch in the opposition box before half-time (SPOTV). Oh Hyeon-gyu's goal from a corner in first-half stoppage time was ruled out for a foul on the goalkeeper. The second half was better but still goalless: Son was denied after Oh's low cross early on, and Venezuela had a goal ruled out for offside and hit the post with a deflected shot (Seoul Economic Daily, Star News).

Risk flagOur xG figures are estimates from a shot log, not provider data. Treat them as roughly ±0.2 per team per game. Three friendlies are a small sample, and the two scorers of Korea's 80th-minute goal against Uruguay are still disputed. The number to watch in October was first-half xG: against Venezuela Korea had one first-half shot, so the slow starts are now three games long. Against Uzbekistan Korea led from the 6th minute, but the first half was again laboured in midfield and the passing improved only after Hwang In-beom came on at half-time (JoongAng Daily).

09What's next

Korea beat Uzbekistan 2-0 in Yongin on 6 October. Son's low free kick in the 6th minute was his 59th goal, making him Korea's all-time men's top scorer, and Oh Se-hun headed in Song Min-kyu's cross on the hour. Moreno kept the 4-4-2, with Oh Se-hun next to Son instead of Oh Hyeon-gyu; Hwang In-beom and Song Min-kyu replaced Lee Kang-in and Lee Jae-sung at half-time. Next come two away friendlies in the Middle East in November (opponents not yet announced as of 12 October). They complete Moreno's six-game interim spell; his contract runs to 27 November, and the KFA will then decide whether he leads Korea at the Asian Cup. No decision had been announced by 12 October. The Asian Cup in Saudi Arabia starts on 7 January 2027; Korea are in Group E with the UAE, Vietnam and Yemen.

10Sources

  1. Korea Herald: Moreno appointed interim coach
  2. Kyunghyang: Moreno's philosophy
  3. Kyunghyang: Moreno's profile and record
  4. Kyunghyang: roles in Moreno's 4-4-2
  5. Korea Times: Moreno's first squad
  6. JoongAng Daily: Moreno's build-up ideas
  7. JoongAng Daily: half-time changes against Ecuador
  8. Kukinews: Moreno after Ecuador
  9. Sky Sports: Korea v Ecuador live commentary
  10. Fox Sports: Korea v Ecuador box score
  11. FotMob: Korea v Ecuador
  12. Football-Asian: Ecuador match review
  13. Sky Sports: Korea v Uruguay live commentary
  14. Fox Sports: Korea v Uruguay box score
  15. Hankook Ilbo: why the plan failed against Uruguay
  16. Ilgan Sports: Korea 1-4 Uruguay
  17. JoongAng Daily: Moreno apologises after Uruguay
  18. Kyunghyang: the midfield problem
  19. Kyunghyang: Son's 58th goal
  20. Korea Daily: half-time substitutions
  21. Topstar: Hwang In-beom expected for October
  22. Mediapen: Asian Cup group
  23. Star News: Venezuela 0-0 match review
  24. Seoul Economic Daily: Korea 0-0 Venezuela
  25. SPOTV News: first-half shots and box touches
  26. FourFourTwo Korea: Venezuela review
  27. Wikipedia: 2027 AFC Asian Cup (Group E)
  28. JoongAng Daily: Son breaks the record against Uzbekistan
  29. Korea Times: Son becomes the all-time men's top scorer
  30. Star News: Korea 2-0 Uzbekistan
  31. Financial News: Korea 2-0 Uzbekistan and the November window

Facts cross-checked in at least two sources where possible. The shot log follows Sky Sports and Fox Sports minute-by-minute data and Korean match reports, and matches FotMob's shot counts. Tactical detail comes mainly from Kyunghyang, JoongAng Daily and Hankook Ilbo and is flagged where it rests on one source.